Hike Duration (End Date) and Expected Weather Extremes

Choose a direction and route, a start month/day, and your expected miles per day. You will receive an estimated hike duration and end date, along with a map showing where the expected highest and lowest temperatures will be encountered.

Pusch Ridge Alternate Routes
Flagstaff Alternate Routes

Weather Planner

Weather data provided by Open-Meteo.com under the 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) license.

Select a region, then a passage within that region, and enter a mile within the passage's range. Choose a planning date to receive current conditions, a 5-day forecast, and a 7-year average for that date and location.


Notes on Weather and Map Data

Elevation and Temperature on the Arizona Trail

The Arizona Trail presents some of the most extreme elevation variation found on any National Scenic Trail. The route climbs from approximately 4,800 feet at the Mexico border, surges above 9,000 feet through the Santa Catalinas, Mazatzals, and San Francisco Peaks, and descends to the Colorado Plateau near the Utah border. This dramatic relief means that a single day's hike can swing from scorching desert heat to near-freezing conditions, and hikers need to be prepared for it.

For most thru-hikers, the primary weather concern on the Arizona Trail is heat. The desert sections (the Sonoran Desert corridors south of Tucson, the lower Gila River drainage, and the high-desert grasslands) can see apparent temperatures well above 100 °F during spring and early summer. A heat index advisory is shown whenever apparent high temperatures are expected to reach or exceed 100 °F.

The higher-elevation sections can experience severe wind chill, particularly outside the primary spring hiking window. A wind chill advisory is shown whenever apparent low temperatures are expected to fall to or below 20 °F, the approximate gear-rating floor for most standard cold-weather hiking equipmen (without purchasing more expensive specialty gear). This threshold is independent of the formal Wind Chill Watches, Warnings, and Advisories issued by the National Weather Service, whose thresholds vary by region and season. Always check your local NWS forecast before heading into high-elevation terrain in cold conditions.

The weather data used by TrailTemps comes from Open-Meteo and is generated at approximately 9-kilometer resolution. In Arizona's rugged terrain a single grid cell can span canyon floors and ridgeline crests that differ by thousands of feet in elevation. When the actual trail point sits well above or below the grid's reference elevation, the apparent temperature (much less the actual temperature data) will not accurately reflect what a hiker on the trail will experience. TrailTemps applies the following elevation-based corrections to apparent temperature for each Arizona Trail waypoint. This is not an exact science (there are way too many variables involved), but it should give a reasoanble approximation for long-term planning purposes.

Notes on Map Data

Additional Resources

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